This article is part of our DFS NHL Breakdown series.
My rankings are determined by a Corsi-based Rating System that I created, the average Rating is about 49 per game. Like Corsi, this represents the total number of shot attempts per game either for or against, but it's also adjusted for shooting percentage and save percentage. Any shot attempt counts, whether it is on goal, off target or blocked, which is why the average hovers around 49, rather than the league average shots on goal (31.4). With the current rosters I have loaded, the Offense Rating (OR) range is a best of 56.5 (TOR) to a worst of 44.8 (NYR), and the Defense Rating (DR) range is a best of 44.8 (TB) to a worst of 58.4 (OTT) – Ottawa is so bad, the next worst team is 53.1 (NJ). These numbers will change daily with line changes, injuries and player call-ups. I am hoping these values clearly show how good or bad a team ranks by equating it to shot attempts per game.
Slate Preview: Thursday, December 13, 2018
The Main Slate on Thursday has a smaller than normal eight-game slate with one of the games of the year in Tampa as the Lightning host Toronto. The game is the highest betting total on the board (6.5 over -130), but I believe this game is going to disappoint for fantasy purposes; I do not think you should fade this game if you play multiple lineups, but if you are