Michael Thomas
Michael Thomas
26-Year-Old Wide ReceiverWR
New Orleans Saints
2018 Fantasy Outlook
With Brandin Cooks in New England, Thomas was set to be the No. 1 receiver for the league's most prolific passing offense. But something strange happened: the Saints became a running team. It wasn't all bad. Thomas still had 149 targets (6th), 104 catches (3rd) and 1,245 yards (6th). But he scored four fewer TDs than in 2016 on three fewer red-zone targets, as tailback Mark Ingram doubled his rushing TDs from six to 12, and all-purpose back Alvin Kamara added 13 scores of his own. At 6-3, 212, Thomas has good size but below-average speed (4.57). He's a good route runner with steady hands, but he's not going to beat anyone deep - only one catch of 40-plus yards last year, two in his two-year career. Despite throwing less often, Drew Brees still attacks in the intermediate and deep areas of the field - Thomas was fourth with 22 catches of 20-plus - but speedster Ted Ginn was the home run hitter with five catches of 40 or more yards. Accordingly, Thomas' 8.4 YPT mark was a modest 11th among the league's 27 100-target receivers, despite playing with the QB who led the NFL in YPA at 8.1. (By contrast Ginn had 11.2 YPT.) Heading into 2018, Thomas is still the team's undisputed No. 1 target and should be drafted for volume and consistency. Just don't expect many big plays or an undue share of red-zone work, as Kamara and Ingram figure to again occupy a large share of the team's usage. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a four-year, $5.12 million contract with the Saints in May of 2016.
Signs with new agent
WRNew Orleans Saints
February 22, 2019
Thomas has signed with a new agent from the same agency, now working with Andrew Kessler of Athletes First, Josh Katzenstein of The New Orleans Times-Picayune reports.
ANALYSIS
Thomas has averaged 107 catches for 1,262 yards and 7.7 TDs in three pro seasons, and his status as a second-round pick means the Saints don't have the ability to exercise a fifth-year option on his rookie contract. The soon-to-be 26-year-old thus figures to sign a massive extension at some point this offseason, with a franchise tag looming in 2020 if no agreement comes into place. Thomas has a solid argument to match Odell Beckham, who signed a five-year, $90 million extension in August with $41 million fully guaranteed (per overthecap.com).
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Michael Thomas' 2018 advanced stats compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Air Yards Per Game
    The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
  • Air Yards Per Snap
    The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
  • % Team Air Yards
    The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
  • % Team Targets
    The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
  • Avg Depth of Target
    Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
  • Catch Rate
    The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Drop Rate
    The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Avg Yds After Catch
    The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
Air Yards Per Game
70.9
 
Air Yards Per Snap
1.22
 
% Team Air Yards
31.3%
 
% Team Targets
28.8%
 
Avg Depth of Target
7.7 Yds
 
Catch Rate
85.0%
 
Drop Rate
2.0%
 
Avg Yds After Catch
4.0
 
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
New Orleans SaintsSaints 2018 WR Snap Distribution See more data like this
% of Team Snaps

1059
0
633
0
290
0
278
0
274
0
126
0
79
0
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Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Michael Thomas lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Michael Thomas
Free Agency Fallout: Day 4
37 days ago
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54 days ago
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80 days ago
Chris likes Jared Goff and the Rams as 2.5-point underdogs in the dome Sunday evening.
NFL Game Previews: Conference Championship Matchups
91 days ago
Erik Siegrist analyzes the conference championship games as Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs will look to avenge a regular-season loss to the Patriots and advance to the Super Bowl.
DraftKings NFL: Conference Championship Picks
92 days ago
Derek VanRiper analyzes the conference championship games on DraftKings as Michael Thomas figures to be highly owned despite his top price.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
Few rookie wideouts pan out as their team's No. 1 targets. Thomas was an exception -- so much so that after the season, the Saints jettisoned their former top receiver Brandin Cooks for a first-round pick. At 6-3, 212 and with 4.57 speed, Thomas is athletically on the cusp of what's typically required for a bona fide No. 1, but he's surprisingly agile and quick for a tall receiver and has excellent hands and good ball skills. Most importantly he has the trust of Drew Brees from whom he caught an unheard-of 76 percent of his 121 targets. Thomas also saw a fair amount of red-zone work last year (19 targets, T-11th) despite missing a game, and his size and hands make him well-suited to operate there -- seven of Thomas' nine scores came on red-zone throws. Thomas isn't a major downfield weapon -- only one catch of 40-plus yards, and his 12.4 YPC average was pedestrian. (His 9.4 YPT was fifth best, but driven entirely by his absurd catch rate.) Even with Cooks gone it's unlikely Thomas will see the deep balls left behind. While Willie Snead (4.56 40) is suited more to a possession role, the team added home run specialist Ted Ginn to run those routes, so Thomas' target depth should remain roughly the same. While Thomas might not be a game-breaker, he's a quality intermediate target, red-zone threat and top option in a Drew Brees-led offense.
Drafted 47th overall, Thomas has a chance for a significant role as a rookie with long-time Saint Marques Colston no longer around. While Willie Snead and Brandin Cooks should start, both are small and not especially useful in the red zone. At 6-3, 212, Thomas is tall, athletic and agile. He's not fast - 4.57 40 - but he has good hands, solid ball skills and scored 18 TDs the last two seasons at Ohio State. Tight end Coby Fleener will also see red-zone work, and 6-6 Brandon Coleman should make the team, but Thomas is the favorite for the No. 3 receiver job.
More Fantasy News
Limited in NFC title loss
WRNew Orleans Saints
January 20, 2019
Thomas brought in four of his seven targets for 36 yards during the Saints' 26-23 overtime loss to the Rams in Sunday's NFC Championship Game.
ANALYSIS
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Explodes for spectacular line
WRNew Orleans Saints
January 13, 2019
Thomas brought in 12 of 16 targets for a franchise-playoff-record 171 yards and a touchdown in the Saints' 20-14 divisional-round playoff win over the Eagles on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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May only see light work
WRNew Orleans Saints
December 30, 2018
Thomas is active for Sunday's game against the Panthers but may not take on his usual snap load, John DeShazier of the Saints' official site reports.
ANALYSIS
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Hits century mark, notches TD
WRNew Orleans Saints
December 23, 2018
Thomas corralled 11 of 13 targets, compiling 109 receiving yards and one touchdown during Sunday's 31-28 win against the Steelers.
ANALYSIS
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Held under 50 yards
WRNew Orleans Saints
December 17, 2018
Thomas caught seven of nine targets for 49 yards in Monday night's 12-9 win over the Panthers.
ANALYSIS
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