Chris Liss is taking the 49ers +1 against the Chiefs on the theory that top defenses tend to overperform the market number in Super Bowls.
Chris loves George Kittle and the Niners as 7.5-point home favorites over the Packers. He feels less strongly about the Titans-Chiefs game.
Chris Liss especially likes Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs laying 9.5 at home against the Texans.
Kirk Cousins and the Vikings outplayed the heavily-favored Saints to advance to the Divisional Round.
Chris likes Drew Brees and the Saints as 7.5-point home favorites against the Vikings.
Chris especially likes Daniel Jones and the Giants as 4.5-point home dogs against the Eagles.
Chris likes Lamar Jackson and the Ravens laying 10 points on the road in Cleveland against a Browns team that seems almost ready to mutiny against their inept coach.
Chris especially likes Aaron Donald and the Rams laying a point in Dallas this week.
Chris Liss likes Andy Dalton and the Bengals getting 8.5 points in Cleveland this week. He also thinks the Patriots should be more than three-point home favorites.
Chris Liss especially likes Kyler Murray and the Cardinals, coming off a bye and getting three points against a Rams squad that got annihilated on Monday night.
Chris likes Russell Wilson and the Seahawks as 1.5-point road underdogs in Philadelphia.
Derek Carr and the Raiders should crush the Bengals in Oakland, but you should fade them nonetheless given their 57 percent ownership.
Chris likes Philip Rivers and the Chargers getting 3.5 in Mexico City against the Chiefs Monday night.
Chris likes Khalil Mack and the Bears at home as 2.5-point favorites against the Lions.
Dak Prescott and the Cowboys are only four percent owned, making them the "pot-odds" play this week.
Chris likes Case Keenum (assuming he's recovered from his concussion) and the Redskins getting 9.5 points in Buffalo this week.
Chris especially likes Russell Wilson and the Seahawks laying 3.5 in Atlanta and the Packers laying 4.5 at Arrowhead.
Chris likes Russell Wilson and the Seahawks as 3.5-point home favorites against the visiting Ravens.
Chris likes Carson Wentz and the Eagles as three-point underdogs in Minnesota this week. He also likes the Giants, Texans, Falcons and Seahawks.
Chris likes Juju Smith-Schuster and the Steelers as 3.5-point home dogs against the Ravens this week.
Chris Liss likes Kenyan Drake (truth be told, it was hard to find a picture of a current Dolphin in the files) and the Dolphins getting a whopping 16 points at home against the Chargers.
Chris Liss likes Andy Dalton and the Bengals getting six points on the road at Buffalo.
Chris Liss likes Alvin Kamara and the Saints as three-point road underdogs against the Rams. He also likes the Raiders as eight-point home dogs against the Chiefs and the Bears as 2.5-point favorites in Denver.
Chris Liss likes Jacoby Brissett and the Colts getting 6.5 at San Diego in Week 1 as he believes the market has over-corrected for Andrew Luck's retirement.
Chris Liss discusses his methods for picking games against the spread the last two decades and how ultimately it's a battle to utilize a beginner's state of mind.
Chris likes Jared Goff and the Rams as 2.5-point underdogs in the dome Sunday evening.
Chris likes Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs laying three points against the Patriots at Arrowhead.
Chris likes Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs laying only 5.5 points against the Colts at Arrowhead.
Chris likes Lamar Jackson and the Ravens as 2.5-point home favorites against the Chargers.
Chris likes a lot of favorites including Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs laying 13.5 points at home against the Raiders.