This article is part of our Survivor series.
|Team||Opponent||%Taken*||Vegas ML**||Vegas Odds||Expected Loss|
* According to "polling" data on Officefootballpools.com
** Average of the two moneylines
*** Game in London
1. Kansas City Chiefs
They're lower-owned than the Bears, and I trust them more on the road, even though their opponent, the Browns, isn't quite the doormat the Bears' opponent is. I give the Chiefs a 77 percent chance to win this game.
2. Chicago Bears
They're the most owned team, but at only 27 percent (in pools that started Week 1 it's probably higher), the pot odds aren't that massive. The Bills are arguably the league's worst team, especially when Nathan Peterman starts, but going on the road in Buffalo is never a picnic, and the Bills defense is actually good. I give the Bears a 75 percent chance to win this game.
3. Minnesota Vikings
If the Bears in Buffalo make you nervous, the Vikings are a viable pivot at home against an average Lions team that just