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Conference Title Game Observations

I don't really know what to say about either game. The first one was so bizarre and full of obvious drama rehashing it in blog form seems pointless. The second was such a one-sided, never-in-doubt blowout - almost exactly like the last few contests between the Colts and Patriots - there's nothing new to add. So I'll offer a few stray thoughts, assuming everyone watched - or heard about - most of what transpired.

Forget about all the strange late-game heroics, Mike McCarthy's decision to kick field goals from the one-yard line twice in the first quarter was the central story of the game. Beyond leaving expected points on the table that might have precluded a Seattle comeback, it showed he neither trusted his offense to succeed, nor his defense in the event the offense failed (having Seattle backed up at the one-yard line is itself worth nearly as much as a field goal with plenty of time left in the half.) McCarthy let his fear of failure undermine his team's optimal chances to win the game.

 By contrast Pete Carroll's decision to fake a FG down 16-0 in the third quarter was especially courageous. Carroll's team was being shut out at home - an embarrassing situation for the Super Bowl champs, and a converted field goal would not only have cut the lead to 13 (obviating the need to make two two-point conversions), but also would have been highly defensible in the post-game press conference. Moreover, failing to convert the fake would have been especially demoralizing, amounting to yet another turnover and fruitless drive. But Carroll was willing to take a chance, and courage is contagious.

• McCarthy's ineptitude went beyond those early-game calls, however. When the Seahawks had the ball after the onside kick at the Packers 35-yard line with one timeout and 2:00 left, time was no longer an issue for them. But it was certainly for the Packers who would need to drive the length of the field in the event of a Seattle score. McCarthy, however, seemed oblivious to this fact, not using any of three timeouts on defense and was bailed out only because Marshawn Lynch broke off a 24-yard TD with 1:35 left. Had the Seahawks been more deliberate, there would have been too little time left for Aaron Rodgers to drive for the game-tying field-goal.

• The Packers deserve a better coach and should be in the Super Bowl.

• While there were several huge turning-point plays, perhaps the biggest (and most overlooked) was the insane two-point conversion where Russell Wilson was trapped 15 yards behind the line of scrimmage and had the presence of mind to heave a desperation Hail Mary across the entire field to Luke Willson. On a two-point conversion, there's no downside, so taking a sack or throwing the ball away - things quarterbacks are trained to do under duress - makes no sense, and Wilson gave his receiver a chance. That play was the difference between Mason Crosby's subsequent field goal sending the game to overtime rather than ending it. And how often does a two-point conversion necessitate a Hail Mary that swings a conference title game?

• LeGarrette Blount played like a bigger, heavier version of Marshawn Lynch, running over would-be tacklers, but also showing quick feet and surprising ability to change directions and make defenders miss.

• What a contrast between the Colts playing at Denver and at New England. Given how Denver's personnel stacks up with anyone's, I'll chalk it up to the huge disparity in coaching, game-planning and preparation.

• The Patriots destroyed Andrew Luck who managed a meager 126 yards (3.8 YPA) and two picks.

• Before the late game, Vegas had installed the Seahawks as three-point Super Bowl favorites in the event of a Patriots win. By Sunday night, it was already a pick 'em. If Richard Sherman's injury turns out to be serious, I'd expect that line to move even more - as it should. I'll feel fairly confident the Patriots will win the game, especially if Sherman doesn't suit up.