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2008 NFL Win Totals

I had trouble finding good up-to-date win-totals lines. This link on Covers.com from August 11 was okay, but the vig was pretty big (average of -115). You'd be better off with one where the spread was -110 on both sides when the action was split. (-120/EVEN would be the same thing, but as you can see below, it's -130/EVEN on a lot of them).

Since 8/11, the biggest news is probably the injuries to Shawne Merriman and Osi Umenyiora, so you could probably get better odds on the Chargers and Giants.

Also, I don't like what they've done here - move the line, not the odds. Because too often teams I like to beat the number (Denver, SF, NYG) have terrible odds. So instead of just picking how you think a team will do, you're juggling whether you feel strongly enough to pay far more if you lose. That's not the game I'd like to play - prefer just getting a total, and picking a side, knowing there's a reasonable (-110) vig. But it is what it is, so I'll make a couple picks.

Finally, RW Staff, before you go crazy offering me the other side, remember, I'm not going to pay you the vig - we'd have to split it down the middle.

TeamOverUnder
Arizona7.5 (-145)7.5 (+115)
Atlanta4.5 (-125)4.5 (-105)
Baltimore6.0 (-130)6.0 (Even)
Buffalo7.5 (-145)7.5 (+115)
Carolina7.5 (-165)7.5 (+135)
Chicago8.0 (+120)8.0 (-150)
Cincinnati7.0 (-130)7.0 (Even)
Cleveland8.0 (-115)8.0 (-115)
Dallas10.5 (-140)10.5 (+110)
Denver7.5 (-175)7.5 (+145)
Detroit6.5 (-130)6.5 (Even)
Green Bay8.5 (-115)8.5 (-115)
Houston7.5 (-130)7.5 (Even)
Indianapolis11.0 (+120)11.0 (-150)
Jacksonville10.0 (-115)10.0 (-115)
Kansas City5.5 (-160)5.5 (+130)
Miami5.5 (Even)5.5 (-130)
Minnesota8.5 (-150)8.5 (+120)
New England12.0 (-190)12.0 (+155)
New Orleans8.5 (-155)8.5 (+125
NY Giants8.5 (-165)8.5 (+135)
NY Jets7.5 (-125)7.5 (-105)
Oakland6.0 (-120)6.0 (Even)
Philadelphia8.5 (-190)8.5 (+150)
Pittsburgh9.0 (-115)9.0 (-115)
San Diego10.5 (-175)10.5 (+145)
San Francisco6.0 (-155)6.0 (+125)
Seattle8.5 (-170)8.5 (+140)
St. Louis6.5 (-130)6.5 (Even)
Tampa Bay8.0 (-145)8.0 (+115)
Tennessee8.0 (+110)8.0 (-140)
Washington7.5 (-145)7.5 (+115)

I like Seattle +140 under 8.5. They're okay, but getting 7:5 that they don't win 9 games is pretty good.

I'd take under 7.5 for WAS at +115 - tough division, unproven QB, new coach, new system.

I'd probably take GB over 8.5 in that division at -115.

And roll the dice on Tennessee over 8.0 at +110 despite a tough division.

If we lose the odds, I love:

Over on the Giants at 8.5 despite the Osi injury, under on the Bears at 8, over on the Broncos at 7.5 (but not for -175!) and over on the Niners at 6.