The defense is still good, but with Adelius Thomas gone, an aging Ray Lewis and Chris McAlister, and an over-the-hill quarterback, Baltimore finishes third in the division behind Pittsburgh and Cincinnati.

Our top-10 are LT, Steven Jackson, Frank Gore, Larry Johnson, Joseph Addai, Willie Parker, Rudi Johnson, Laurence Maroney, Shaun Alexander and Maurice Jones-Drew. No one knows which ones will get hurt or find their opportunities limited by their teams (other than LT), but every year, many of the top-10 picks are busts. Last year, Cadillac Williams, LaMont Jordan, Shaun Alexander, Ronnie Brown were all big disappointments, and 2007 isn't likely to be any different.

Both are getting older, have dealt with various injuries and are being pushed by younger, more explosive options on their own teams.

At 265-pounds, much of it above his waist, Jacobs' legs will wear down over the course of the season, and he eventually splits carries with Reuben Droughns. In the last eight games, Droughns outrushes Jacobs.

Neither back has really seized his opportunities to date, and at this point in their careers, it's likely we would have seen more from them if either were destined for greatness. It wouldn't be a surprise if either or both got hurt - which is sometimes the easiest way out when you're under pressure to produce.