Heston Kjerstad

Heston Kjerstad

25-Year-Old DHDH
Baltimore Orioles
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Kjerstad made a strong first impression in the majors late last season, but unfortunately he's only eligible in the utility spot to start 2024 in most fantasy leagues. A money-saving pick at No. 2 overall in 2020, Kjerstad famously didn't make his pro debut until midway through the 2022 season due primarily to a heart inflammation condition. He won the Arizona Fall League home run derby after the 2022 season and then slashed .303/.376/.528 with 21 home runs in 122 games across Double-A and Triple-A before getting a brief cup of coffee. While he is limited defensively to designated hitter, first base and occasional corner-outfield work, Kjerstad's bat should be good enough to profile at the bottom of the defensive spectrum. He had a 113.5 mph max exit velocity at Triple-A and a 105.1 mph 90th percentile exit velocity and then logged a 19.0 Barrel% and a 52.4% Statcast hard-hit rate in 21 batted-ball events in the majors. He didn't show significant lefty/righty splits last year, but Baltimore has a talented enough roster that the lefty-hitting Kjerstad may still sit against some lefties when he's in the majors. However, Oriole Park at Camden Yards plays much better for lefties than righties, so he should be able to hit for plenty of power, even if he's getting platooned. The stacked 40-man roster clouds Kjerstad's playing time outlook at the outset of 2024. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#557
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Orioles in September of 2023.
Plates 10 runs at Triple-A
DHBaltimore Orioles  AAA
April 4, 2024
Kjerstad went 5-for-7 with two home runs, two doubles, 10 RBI and two additional runs Wednesday in Triple-A Norfolk's 26-11 win over Charlotte.
ANALYSIS
The Norfolk roster features four of the top position prospects in baseball in Kjerstad, Jackson Holliday, Connor Norby and Coby Mayo, and the quartet lived up to its billing Wednesday in a rout of Charlotte. Kjerstad led the way with five hits and 10 RBI, but Holliday, Norby and Mayo combined for 11 hits and six RBI while No. 5 batter Kyle Stowers chipped in two home runs and seven RBI of his own. On the heels of his blistering performance at the dish, Kjerstad now owns a monstrous 1.785 OPS over five games for Norfolk on the season.
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Batting Stats
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2023
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-100%
OPS vs RHP
2024
No Stats
2023
 
 
-100%
OPS vs RHP
2022
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .000 1 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000
Since 2022vs Right .773 31 3 2 3 0 .241 .290 .483
2024vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Left .000 1 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000
2023vs Right .773 31 3 2 3 0 .241 .290 .483
2022vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+37%
OPS at Home
2024
No Stats
2023
 
 
+37%
OPS at Home
2022
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .891 13 1 1 2 0 .250 .308 .583
Since 2022Away .652 19 2 1 1 0 .222 .263 .389
2024Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Home .891 13 1 1 2 0 .250 .308 .583
2023Away .652 19 2 1 1 0 .222 .263 .389
2022Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Prospect Rankings History
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Momentum for promotion
DHBaltimore Orioles  AAA
September 1, 2023
Kjerstad makes Joe Trezza of MLB.com's list of top prospect promotions that could occur in September.
ANALYSIS
Kjerstad was a first-round pick in the 2020 draft, but he missed approximately two years while dealing with heart issues. Thankfully, the 24-year-old recovered and has been rapidly ascending through the minors since the beginning of 2022. He's currently hitting .295 with eight home runs through 66 Triple-A games.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2021
There's a feel-good element to Kjerstad's 2022 season. He was selected by Baltimore with the No. 2 overall pick in 2020, but a heart condition sidelined him through the 2021 season and he missed the first two months of last season with hamstring strain before finally making his pro debut in June. Kjerstad did what he needed to do as a 23-year-old at Single-A, logging a 228 wRC+ and quickly forcing a promotion to High-A. His 25.3 K% and 71.2 Contact% at High-A are concerning marks, given his age and pedigree. We can forgive his limited power output somewhat given how much Aberdeen suppresses home runs, but the hit tool concerns are real. He made noise in the Arizona Fall League with a .357 average, five home runs, a runner-up finish in the home run derby and the league MVP award, but his 30.0 K% and 4.8 BB% against mediocre AFL pitching is quite worrisome. Kjerstad has legitimate excuses for the fact he will be old for the remaining minor-league levels he will play at, but it's possible, if not probable that he will be overmatched as a 24-year-old at Double-A.
Kjerstad had a 21.7 K% and a 7.0 BB% as a sophomore at Arkansas and a 10:3 K:BB in 43 AB with Team USA in 2019. Those aren't the plate skills of a middling defensive outfielder who would typically go No. 2 overall in the draft, which is where Baltimore selected him last year. He improved his swing decisions (9:7 K:BB) in 16 games as a junior, but the majority of those games came against mediocre competition. In 150 games for Arkansas, he slashed .343/.421/.590 with 37 home runs. He is 6-foot-3, 200 pounds and bats left-handed, profiling as passable in left or right field. It will have to be his all-fields power that carries him to the majors. He seems unlikely to log high OBPs by corner outfield standards, and it would be a win if he develops into a .265 hitter, as there are questions about his ability to hit premium stuff. A non-sports related medical issue prevented him from taking part in fall instructs.
More Fantasy News
Sent to Triple-A
DHBaltimore Orioles  AAA
March 22, 2024
The Orioles optioned Kjerstad to Triple-A Norfolk on Friday, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Struggling to begin spring
DHBaltimore Orioles  AAA
March 1, 2024
Kjerstad has gone 2-for-14 over his first five Grapefruit League games.
ANALYSIS
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Receives spot on ALDS roster
DHBaltimore Orioles  AAA
October 7, 2023
Kjerstad is on the Orioles' roster for their ALDS matchup against the Rangers, Jake Rill of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Takes seat Saturday
DHBaltimore Orioles  AAA
September 23, 2023
Kjerstad isn't in the Orioles' lineup Saturday versus the Guardians, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Taking seat Thursday
DHBaltimore Orioles  AAA
September 21, 2023
Kjerstad is not in the lineup for Thursday's contest in Cleveland.
ANALYSIS
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