Jose Alvarado
24-Year-Old PitcherRP
60-Day IL
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 11/1/2019
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Closers need a couple things: two quality pitches (or one amazing one) and command. Alvarado has two excellent pitches in a fastball that tickles triple digits and a hard, 11-5 breaking ball that batters have a tough time picking up out of his hand. Early in 2018, he lacked the command portion of that equation and had a 14% K-BB rate despite his stuff because he could not hit his spots consistently. That changed midseason and Alvarado had a 28 K-BB% in the second half while holding hitters to a .154 batting average and a .244 slugging percentage. He allowed one home run on the season to the 263 batters he faced, which while fortunate, also speaks to how tough he is for batters to pick up. A few year ago, the club had Felipe Vazquez on the roster and traded him to get Jose Lobaton. They have Vazquez 2.0 here and will not repeat that mistake. As long as the Rays do not try to game the arbitration system, this is their new closer. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#163
ADP
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$Signed a contract with the Rays in March of 2012 that includes a $50,000 signing bonus.
Done for season
PTampa Bay Rays
Elbow
September 5, 2019
Alvarado (elbow) was shifted to the 60-day injured list Thursday, which likely ends his season, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
This move frees up a roster spot for Kean Wong, who was promoted from Triple-A Durham on Thursday. Per Topkin, manager Kevin Cash said Alvarado hasn't suffered any setbacks, but his elbow apparently hasn't responded well to rest and there simply isn't enough time for the southpaw to return before the end of the season, barring the Rays making the World Series.
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
17
Last 10 Games
20
Last 5 Games
21
How many pitches does Jose Alvarado generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Jose Alvarado generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-17%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-31%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-22%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-48%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .235 190 48 22 38 7 0 1
Since 2017vs Right .195 342 100 43 57 11 3 3
2019vs Left .194 48 13 8 7 1 0 0
2019vs Right .282 98 26 19 22 3 1 2
2018vs Left .215 90 26 10 17 2 0 1
2018vs Right .167 173 54 19 25 8 1 0
2017vs Left .298 52 9 4 14 4 0 0
2017vs Right .156 71 20 5 10 0 1 1
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-34%
ERA on Road
2019
 
 
-6%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-24%
ERA on Road
2017
 
 
-66%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 3.84 1.12 70.1 2 9 7 11.6 4.1 0.3
Since 2017Away 2.53 1.52 53.1 0 6 8 9.6 5.6 0.3
2019Home 4.91 1.64 18.1 1 3 3 12.3 6.9 0.5
2019Away 4.63 2.23 11.2 0 3 4 10.8 10.0 0.8
2018Home 2.70 0.93 33.1 1 4 4 12.7 3.8 0.3
2018Away 2.05 1.30 30.2 0 2 4 9.7 4.4 0.0
2017Home 4.82 0.96 18.2 0 2 0 9.2 1.9 0.0
2017Away 1.64 1.36 11.0 0 1 0 8.2 4.1 0.8
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Jose Alvarado compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 20 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.44
 
K/9
11.7
 
BB/9
8.1
 
HR/9
0.6
 
Fastball
98.2 mph
 
ERA
4.80
 
WHIP
1.87
 
BABIP
.372
 
GB/FB
2.18
 
Left On Base
71.4%
 
Exit Velocity
89.3 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.1%
 
Spin Rate
2243 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
34.6%
 
Swinging Strike
12.6%
 
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Defensive Stats
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2018 Fantasy Outlook
Alvarado's fastball-slider combo had enticed during his rise through the farm system, but he hadn't shown an ability to locate with consistency prior to 2017. The lefty issued walks at a 6.4 BB/9 clip in a 16-game stint at Triple-A and hadn't posted a mark under 4.0 at any level. All of a sudden, Alvarado began hitting his spots and ended up with an above-average walk rate (2.7 BB/9) in his first exposure to big-league hitters. The swing-and-miss came with him to the majors, with Alvarado averaging close to a strikeout per inning, and he induced groundballs 53.7 percent of the time. His FIP was more than a run lower than his ERA at 2.55 -- that was good for 18th among 291 relievers with at least 20 innings. Alvarado was excellent against righties (.193 wOBA), and if Alex Colome is dealt this winter, Alvarado could get a look in the ninth.
More Fantasy News
Elbow tests encouraging
PTampa Bay Rays
Elbow
August 27, 2019
Alvarado's (elbow) MRI and doctor visit Monday yielded fairly encouraging results, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Out with elbow inflammation
PTampa Bay Rays
Elbow
August 24, 2019
Alvarado was placed on the 10-day injured list with left elbow inflammation after Saturday's loss at Baltimore, Juan Toribio of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Opening Saturday
PTampa Bay Rays
August 23, 2019
Alvarado will serve as the opener for Saturday's game against the Orioles, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Nabs first win of season
PTampa Bay Rays
August 19, 2019
Alvarado (1-5) was credited with the victory in a win over the Tigers on Sunday, firing a scoreless ninth inning in which he allowed no hits, issued two walks and struck out one.
ANALYSIS
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Jumps right back into action
PTampa Bay Rays
August 14, 2019
Alvarado (oblique) was credited with his seventh hold in a win over the Padres on Tuesday, allowing an unearned run on a hit and a walk over two-thirds of an inning. He also recorded a strikeout.
ANALYSIS
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